The scenario
Local club night, five tables. You stumble into 4 after a partnership misunderstanding (see below).
South Dealer
Vuln: None
Matchpoints
North
Q 10
A 9 8 6 4
K Q 5 3 2
Q
West
3 lead
A 4
2
East
K
10 6
A
South
A K 8 3 2
Q 2
7
K J 9 5 3
|
2 = Invite or better with 5+
3 = Maximum, <3 ( not 62)
4 = Forgot precise meaning of 3
Defence led the heart three, taken by East's king. East then cashed the Club Ace, followed by the diamond six to West's Diamond Ace and back comes a diamond from West.
How do you proceed?
K diamonds (throw away a club), heart to the queen and spade to 10. If I succeeded, then the Q of spades and then hoping to guess the heart/diamond position (as I need to get rid of another club).
ReplyDeleteThis is indeed the line that I (after-the-fact) think I should have taken. We're turning down the 35% (all 3-3 breaks) for half the 3-3's (~18%) and two-thirds of the 4=2 breaks (~16%), i.e. ordinarily it's very close. Naturally there is an extra loss to taking the finesse in that we still need to negotiate some way back to hand later -- even if that's as bad a bet as 60% I hazard that it's better to take the sub-percentage line because...
Delete(I assume you didn't mention it to let others work it out too, so I shan't comment on it yet)